UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-12 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.16,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.09375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 119.6875, 119.34375, 119.0625, 118.9375, 118.5625, 118.4375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.09375, 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.8125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.0938 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.9913 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.6299 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.4375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price is trading below the key F0%/NTZ levels on the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, confirming persistent downside pressure. The swing pivot trend is down both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot low at 116.09375 and resistance stacking above at multiple levels, notably 119.6875. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing negative momentum. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, with only a brief long attempt quickly reversed. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume remains steady, suggesting the move is supported by participation but not marked by panic. The market appears to be in a controlled downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows, and no immediate signs of reversal or exhaustion. This environment is typical of a trend continuation phase rather than a consolidation or reversal setup.