UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-08 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.09003,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 111.56250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 124.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.65625, 137.71875, 151.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 117.0625, 111.5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.1875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.3125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.09003 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.44813 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.72063 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.15625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently above the short- and intermediate-term session fib grid centers, with average momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a balanced but active market. The short-term WSFG and intermediate-term MSFG both show upward trends, supported by recent upward pivots and moving averages turning higher. However, the long-term YSFG remains in a downtrend, with price still below the yearly fib grid center and all major long-term moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) trending down. Swing pivots highlight a recent low at 111.56250 and a potential next resistance at 124.03125, with key support at 117.0625. Recent trade signals reflect mixed short-term direction but a more constructive intermediate-term outlook. Overall, the chart suggests a market attempting a recovery within a broader bearish context, with short-term consolidation, intermediate-term strength, and persistent long-term resistance overhead. This environment may favor tactical swing trading as the market navigates between support and resistance levels.