UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-07 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.31,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 42%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.68,
• 5. Levels R: 119.68, 119.10, 118.43, 116.93, 116.52,
• 6. Levels S: 114.68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.18 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.78 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.57 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.10 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.49 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a pronounced downtrend across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction in the very short term, but the prevailing trend remains downward. Both the short-term and intermediate-term Fib grid trends (WSFG and MSFG) are technically up, with price above their respective NTZ/F0% levels, suggesting some potential for a countertrend bounce or consolidation. However, the swing pivot structure and all benchmark moving averages are aligned to the downside, reinforcing the dominant bearish bias. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 116.25, with the next resistance at 119.68, and major support at 114.68. Recent trade signals have been mixed, with a short signal followed by a long, reflecting choppy price action near support. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase within a broader downtrend, with any rallies likely to face resistance at key moving averages and prior swing highs. The technical landscape suggests a market that is attempting to stabilize after a selloff, but with no clear evidence yet of a sustained reversal.