UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-06 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.0625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 111.5625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 127.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.71875, 127.65625, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.09 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 122.44 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 122.09 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 133.72 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 147.44 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 177.44 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is exhibiting a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action remains below all major moving averages, with the last price at 117.0625 and momentum slow, indicating a lack of bullish conviction. The WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG all show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing a downward bias. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 111.5625 and the next significant resistance at 127.65625. All benchmark moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 week) are trending down, confirming the prevailing long-term downtrend. Recent trade signals have consistently triggered short entries, aligning with the overall bearish technical landscape. The market appears to be in a prolonged downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the chart, and no immediate signs of reversal or strong support holding. This environment suggests continued pressure on bond prices, with rallies being sold and support levels at risk of further tests.