UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-05 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.77,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.77,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.78125, 119.34375, 118.34375, 118.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 117.77, 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.21875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.54281 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.22668 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.57469 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.20469 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price at 117.77, just off a new swing low. Both the short-term and intermediate-term session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) indicate price is above their respective NTZ centers, but the prevailing pivot and moving average trends remain down. All benchmark moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day) are trending lower, reinforcing the downside bias. Swing pivots confirm a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 117.77 and the next potential reversal only above 118.78. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin below, suggesting limited downside cushion. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the overall trend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating steady but not extreme market activity. The technical landscape points to a market in a sustained downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal or strong counter-trend activity.