UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-02 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.28,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 124.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.65625, 137.71875, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 117.03125, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.96 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.18 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.19 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.08 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.08 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow and the price is trading below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, confirming a bearish short-term trend. This is reinforced by recent short trade signals and a downtrend in the 5- and 10-week moving averages. However, the intermediate-term picture is more constructive, with the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) and HiLo swing trend both pointing up, and price holding above the monthly fib grid neutral zone. The long-term trend remains bearish, as indicated by the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages all trending down and price well below these benchmarks. Key resistance levels are clustered above at 124.03 and 137.65, while support is found at 117.03 and 111.56. The market is currently consolidating near recent lows, with a potential for either a base-building phase or further downside if support fails. The overall structure suggests a choppy environment with mixed signals across timeframes, typical of a market searching for direction after a prolonged decline.