UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-02 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.729,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.023,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120.281,
• 5. Levels R: 124.031, 121.062, 120.281, 118.843,
• 6. Levels S: 114.688, 111.925, 111.526.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.343 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.187 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.565 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.353 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.579 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.295 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 31 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish bias across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price at 117.729, sitting below most key moving averages. The short-term WSFG trend is down, with price below the NTZ, and recent trade signals have triggered short entries. Both the short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 117.023 and resistance levels stacked above. All benchmark moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day) are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing downside pressure. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. The market has been in a corrective phase since the December high, with no signs yet of a reversal or strong bounce. The overall structure suggests continued weakness, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the recent price cycle, and no significant support until the 114.688 level. The environment remains unfavorable for bullish swing setups, and the technicals point to a persistent downtrend.