UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-31 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.6875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.65625, 137.03125, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.87500, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.69 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.18 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.19 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.08 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.08 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 31 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.6875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is consolidating with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, reflecting indecision after a period of volatility. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price holding above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend remains down, suggesting a lack of strong bullish conviction. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the MSFG trend is down and price is below the monthly NTZ, but the HiLo trend has shifted to up, indicating a possible emerging base. Long-term, the yearly grid trend is up, but major moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) are still in downtrends, capping rallies and reinforcing a broader bearish bias. Key resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is established near 111.87 and 111.56. The recent long signal aligns with short-term upward momentum, but the overall structure suggests the market is in a broad consolidation phase, with upside capped by long-term resistance and downside supported by recent swing lows. This environment favors range-bound price action, with potential for trend development if a breakout occurs above or below the established levels.