UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-30 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.19,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.56,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 124.03,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50, 137.66, 137.71, 124.03,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.96 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.18 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.19 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.08 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.07 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum remains slow and price is trading below the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers, indicating continued downward pressure in the near term. The short-term swing pivot trend is down, with the next significant resistance at 124.03 and support at 111.56. Intermediate-term trends are mixed, with the HiLo trend up but both the 5- and 10-week moving averages still trending down, suggesting a possible base-building phase. Long-term, the yearly fib grid trend has turned up, and price is just above the yearly center, but major long-term moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) remain in downtrends, capping rallies. The recent long signal at 118.5 reflects a potential attempt to reverse or bounce from support, but the overall structure suggests the market is consolidating after a prolonged decline, with resistance overhead and a need for further confirmation before a sustained trend change. Volatility is moderate, and the market is likely to remain choppy until a decisive breakout above resistance or breakdown below support occurs.