UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-30 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.406,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.0625, 119.34375, 119.0625, 118.9375, 118.6875,
• 6. Levels S: 117.6875, 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.1875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.4875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.5715 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.3804 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.5981 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.9308 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures market is currently in a corrective phase, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends pointing down as confirmed by the WSFG and MSFG readings, as well as the swing pivot structure (DTrend). Price is trading below the key NTZ/F0% levels for both the weekly and monthly session grids, reinforcing the prevailing downside bias. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending lower, indicating persistent selling pressure and a lack of bullish momentum. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 117.6875, with the next potential reversal at 119.0000, suggesting the market is in a consolidation or base-building phase after a significant decline. Volatility, as measured by ATR, remains moderate, and volume is steady but not elevated, indicating no panic or capitulation. The long-term yearly trend remains marginally up, but this is not yet reflected in the daily or intermediate-term price action. The recent long signal at 118.5 may indicate a potential for a short-term bounce or mean reversion, but the overall technical structure remains weak until a clear reversal or higher low is established. The market is likely to remain choppy and range-bound unless a decisive breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support occurs.