UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-29 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.19,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50, 137.72, 127.66, 124.03,
• 6. Levels S: 111.87, 111.56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.96 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.18 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 122.56 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 134.08 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 137.72 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.08 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition, with mixed signals across timeframes. Short-term price action is consolidating above the weekly session fib grid center, but momentum remains slow and the most recent swing pivot trend is down. Intermediate-term signals are bearish, with the monthly fib grid trend down and both 5- and 10-week moving averages in decline. However, the long-term outlook is more neutral, as the yearly fib grid trend is up and price is holding above the yearly NTZ center, though major long-term moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) are still trending down. Resistance is layered above at 124, 127, 137, and 151, while support is firm at 111.87 and 111.56. The recent short signal aligns with the intermediate-term bearish bias, but the overall environment is choppy, with the market caught between long-term downtrends and short-term attempts to base. This suggests a period of indecision, with potential for further consolidation or a volatility breakout as the market tests key support and resistance levels.