UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-29 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118'20,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117'08,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119'00,
• 5. Levels R: 121'09, 120'31, 119'30, 119'14,
• 6. Levels S: 117'08, 114'68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'13 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'03 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'58 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'40 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'68 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase after a significant downtrend. Price action is consolidating near recent lows, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is up, but the price remains below the monthly MSFG NTZ, confirming intermediate-term downward pressure. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 117'08 and resistance levels stacked above, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish bias. The ATR remains moderate, and volume is average, reflecting a market in a pause or potential basing phase after the recent selloff. The most recent trade signal was a short entry, aligning with the dominant trend. While the long-term YSFG trend is up, the current technical structure favors a cautious stance, as the market may be searching for a bottom or preparing for further downside. Key levels to watch are the support at 117'08 and resistance at 119'00 and above. The overall environment is characterized by corrective action within a broader bearish context, with no clear signs of reversal yet.