UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-28 18:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118'13,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118'03,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119'00,
• 5. Levels R: 121'09, 120'31, 119'31, 119'25, 119'04,
• 6. Levels S: 118'03, 114'68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'12 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'08 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'31 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'61 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase after a significant downtrend. Price action is consolidating near recent lows, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is up, but this is countered by the intermediate-term MSFG trend, which remains down and is reinforced by both the swing pivot DTrend and all benchmark moving averages trending lower. Resistance levels cluster above at 119'04–121'09, while support is defined at 118'03 and 114'68. The recent short signal aligns with the prevailing bearish structure. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is average, suggesting a pause or potential base-building phase. Long-term metrics are neutral, with the yearly trend still up, but the market would need to reclaim key moving averages and resistance pivots to shift the bias. Overall, the chart reflects a market in a short- and intermediate-term downtrend, with possible stabilization attempts but no clear reversal yet.