UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-26 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.26589,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -39%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.57860,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 127.66525,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.71875, 127.66525, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.57860, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.04625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.21875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.68406 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.43725 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 160.48438 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently consolidating within a medium range, with slow momentum and the last price near 120.27. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price holding above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend is down, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the monthly session fib grid trend is down, but the HiLo swing trend is up, suggesting a possible countertrend rally within a broader downtrend. Long-term indicators remain bearish, with all major moving averages (except the 20-week) trending down and price well below the 100- and 200-week benchmarks. Resistance is layered above at 124.03, 127.66, and 137.72, while support is firm at 111.58. The recent short signal aligns with the prevailing long-term bearish structure, but the presence of short-term upward bias and intermediate-term mixed signals points to a choppy, range-bound environment. Overall, the market is in a consolidation phase with a bearish long-term backdrop, and swing traders should be attentive to potential breakouts or failures at key resistance and support levels.