UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-26 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119'18,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -39%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.0625,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.0625, 119.0652,
• 6. Levels S: 117.6875, 114.6875, 111.125, 111.052, 110.403.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.1875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.0873 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.5709 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.4887 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.7003 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.2645 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase after a significant downtrend. Price action is currently consolidating near 119'18, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a pause after recent volatility. The short-term WSFG trend is up, but the monthly MSFG and swing pivot trends remain down, highlighting a divergence between short-term and intermediate-term outlooks. All key moving averages except the 200-day are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 117.6875, with resistance levels overhead at 119.0652, 121.0625, and 124.03125, and support below at 117.6875 and 114.6875. The recent short trade signal aligns with the dominant downtrend. Overall, the market is in a corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure, with potential for further consolidation or a retest of recent lows unless a sustained move above resistance levels materializes.