UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-23 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.26598,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -47%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.87500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 127.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.71875, 127.65625, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.87500, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.04625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.1125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 122.68406 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 134.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 147.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 198.624 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently in a medium-range bar environment with average momentum, reflecting a period of consolidation after recent volatility. The short-term Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) trend is up, with price holding just above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend is down, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction in the near term. Intermediate-term signals are more bearish, with the Monthly Session Fib Grid (MSFG) trend down and price below the NTZ, supported by downtrending 5- and 10-week moving averages. The long-term outlook remains bearish, as the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages all trend lower, and major resistance levels remain well above current price. However, the yearly Fib grid trend is up, suggesting some underlying support and potential for a longer-term base. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both short and long entries triggered in December. Key support is clustered around 111.87–111.56, while resistance is layered at 124.03, 127.65, and higher. The market is currently caught between a short-term attempt to rally and persistent intermediate- and long-term downtrends, with price action likely to remain choppy until a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs.