UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-23 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.09306,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -47%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.04,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.12,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03, 123.24, 121.12,
• 6. Levels S: 118.04, 114.69.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.03 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.68 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.58 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.31 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.91 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.86 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market under pressure, with price action currently below key monthly session fib grid (MSFG) levels and all major moving averages trending down. The short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are both down, with the most recent pivot low at 118.04 acting as immediate support and resistance levels stacked above at 121.12, 123.24, and 124.03. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) trend remains up, but this is overshadowed by the prevailing downward momentum in the intermediate-term. The long-term yearly fib grid (YSFG) trend is up, but price is consolidating below the 100- and 200-day moving averages, indicating a lack of strong bullish conviction. Recent trade signals reflect a choppy environment, with a short signal following a brief long attempt, highlighting indecision and potential for further volatility. Volume and ATR metrics suggest moderate activity, but the overall technical structure points to a market in a corrective or retracement phase, with risk of further downside unless a significant reversal above resistance levels occurs.