UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-22 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.74,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -54%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.09375, 119.125,
• 6. Levels S: 117.125, 114.6875, 111.125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.1625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.8625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.16094 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.57219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.8847 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is subdued with medium bars and slow momentum, reflecting a lack of strong buying interest. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) indicate that price is trading below their respective neutral zones, confirming a persistent downtrend. Swing pivot analysis highlights a dominant short-term and intermediate-term downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 117.125 and resistance levels stacked well above current price, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages from short to long-term are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. The ATR and volume metrics suggest moderate volatility and participation. Recent trade signals have shifted to a short bias, aligning with the technical backdrop. Overall, the market is in a corrective or continuation phase lower, with no immediate signs of reversal, and rallies are being capped by resistance. The environment remains unfavorable for bullish swing setups, and the technicals point to continued pressure until a significant pivot or breakout above resistance occurs.