UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-21 18:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.4375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.1875,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.0625, 120.40625, 119.3475,
• 6. Levels S: 117.6875, 115.9625, 114.6875, 111.125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.0625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.1625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.16525 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.57525 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.105 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.86844 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends pointing down as confirmed by the swing pivot structure and all key moving averages trending lower. Price is currently below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid neutral zones, reinforcing the prevailing downside bias. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 117.6875, with resistance levels stacked above and support levels below, indicating a market that has recently tested lower levels and is consolidating after a sell-off. Despite a couple of recent long signals, overall momentum remains slow and the market is trading below most benchmarks, suggesting any rallies may be corrective within a broader downtrend. The long-term yearly trend remains up, but this is not yet reflected in the daily or intermediate-term structure. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady, with no major breakout or reversal patterns evident at this time. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase after a significant decline, with potential for further choppy or range-bound action unless a decisive move above resistance or below support occurs.