UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-19 07:22 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.18750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 121.796875,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.65625, 137.71875, 151.5,
• 6. Levels S: 117.18750, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.373 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.213 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.34875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 119.46875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 122.7875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.79844 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum is average, with price action holding above the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, and recent long signals confirming a bullish short-term bias. The swing pivot trend is down in the very short term, but the intermediate HiLo trend is up, suggesting a possible shift or consolidation phase. Intermediate-term (monthly) fib grid and moving averages are mixed, with the MSFG trend down and price below the monthly NTZ, but the 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages are all trending up, indicating underlying support. Long-term (yearly) fib grid trend is up, but major resistance levels remain overhead, and the 55, 100, and 200-week moving averages are still in downtrends, reflecting the broader bearish structure from previous cycles. Support is established at 117.19 and 111.56, with resistance at 124.03 and higher. The market appears to be in a recovery or basing phase after a prolonged decline, with potential for further upside if short-term strength persists and intermediate-term resistance levels are overcome. Volatility remains moderate, and the chart structure suggests a possible transition from a downtrend to a more neutral or even bullish environment if key resistance levels are broken.