UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-19 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.828,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.28,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.25,
• 5. Levels R: 121.0625, 119.25, 118.9375, 118.6875, 118.4375,
• 6. Levels S: 117.28, 114.6875, 111.125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.9375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.21875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.25313 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.555 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.8625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.71063 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term price action is stabilizing after a recent decline, with medium-sized bars and average momentum. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) trend is up, indicating some short-term bullishness, but the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) is firmly down, reflecting intermediate-term bearishness as price remains below the monthly NTZ. The swing pivot structure confirms a short-term and intermediate-term downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 117.28 and resistance levels stacked above, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the intermediate-term bearish bias, though the long-term yearly fib grid trend remains up, hinting at underlying support for a potential recovery. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, possibly in anticipation of a short-term bounce or reversal. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is consolidating after a sell-off, with short-term neutral, intermediate-term bearish, and long-term bullish ratings. Swing traders may observe for signs of a sustained reversal or further downside follow-through, as the market tests key support and resistance levels.