UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-18 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.90625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -46%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.91750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 121.68775,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.65025, 137.71875, 151.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.373 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.213 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.46875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 120.34875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 122.78750 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.79844 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition, with mixed signals across timeframes. Price action is currently near a recent swing low, with medium-sized bars and average momentum, suggesting neither strong selling nor buying pressure dominates. The short-term Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) trend is up, with price holding above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend is down, indicating a possible short-term pullback or consolidation phase. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the Monthly Session Fib Grid (MSFG) trend is down, but the HiLo swing trend is up, reflecting a market that has recently bounced but faces resistance. Long-term, the Yearly Session Fib Grid (YSFG) trend is up, but price remains well below the 100- and 200-week moving averages, which are still trending down, highlighting the broader bearish structure. Key resistance levels are clustered above, with the nearest at 124.03125, while strong support sits at 111.56250. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries in close succession, reinforcing the neutral, choppy environment. Overall, the market is consolidating after a prolonged downtrend, with no clear directional conviction across timeframes, and is likely to remain range-bound until a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs.