UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-18 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118'06,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -46%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117'12,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119'12,
• 5. Levels R: 121'05, 124'03,
• 6. Levels S: 118'13, 114'68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117'98 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'28 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'39 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'54 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'54 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119'54 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase after a significant downtrend. Price action is consolidating near recent lows, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a pause after the recent selloff. The short-term and intermediate-term trends, as indicated by both swing pivots and moving averages, remain bearish, with all key benchmarks trending down and price trading below the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) neutral zone. However, the weekly and yearly session fib grids (WSFG and YSFG) show price above their respective neutral zones, suggesting some underlying long-term support. Resistance levels are well above current price, while support is being tested near 118'13 and 114'68. Recent trade signals reflect mixed short-term activity, with a recent long entry following a prior short, highlighting the choppy and indecisive nature of the current market environment. Volatility remains moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is in a short- to intermediate-term bearish phase, but with potential for a base or reversal if support holds and long-term trends reassert.