UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-17 07:23 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.28,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -56%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 121.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.71875, 151.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 117.18750, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.37 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.21 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.35 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.79 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.79 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 153.18 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is consolidating near recent lows, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price just above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend is down, reflecting mixed signals and a choppy environment. Intermediate-term metrics are also mixed: the monthly session fib grid is trending down, but the HiLo trend is up, suggesting a possible countertrend bounce within a broader downtrend. All major moving averages (from 5-week to 200-week) remain in a downtrend, reinforcing the long-term bearish structure. Resistance levels are clustered above, with the nearest at 124.03, while support is firm at 117.18 and 111.56. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, highlighting the indecisive, range-bound nature of the current market. Overall, the chart reflects a market in consolidation after a prolonged decline, with potential for short-term swings but no clear evidence of a sustained reversal. The long-term trend remains bearish, while short- and intermediate-term outlooks are neutral, awaiting a decisive breakout or breakdown.