UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-16 07:22 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117'31,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -52%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.078,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09375,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.09375, 119.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 114.6875, 111.125, 111.5625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.46875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.79391 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.40994 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.8025 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.87813 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in a corrective phase, with price action showing a slow momentum and medium-sized bars. The short-term and intermediate-term trends are both down, as confirmed by the swing pivot structure (DTrend) and all benchmark moving averages trending lower. Price is currently below the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) neutral zone, reinforcing the intermediate-term bearish bias, while the weekly and yearly session fib grids show price above their respective neutral zones, suggesting some underlying long-term support. Resistance levels are clustered above at 119'09, 121'09, and 124'03, while support is found at 117'07, 114'68, and 111'12. Recent trade signals indicate mixed short-term activity, with a recent long entry following a short, highlighting potential for short-term countertrend moves within a broader downtrend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating a market that is active but not experiencing extreme moves. Overall, the technical landscape points to a bearish environment in the short and intermediate term, with the long-term trend remaining neutral as price consolidates near key support levels.