UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-15 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.90625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.21875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 121.71875,
• 5. Levels R: 137.65625, 124.03125, 121.71875,
• 6. Levels S: 117.21875, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.373 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.213 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.34875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 119.46875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 122.78750 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 134.79844 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is consolidating with medium bars and slow momentum, reflecting indecision after a period of volatility. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price holding above the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend is down, indicating a possible short-term pullback or pause within a broader recovery attempt. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the MSFG trend is down and price is below the monthly NTZ, but the HiLo trend is up, suggesting a potential for a reversal if support holds. Long-term, the yearly trend has just turned up, but major moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) remain in downtrends, capping rallies and reinforcing a bearish bias. Key resistance levels are clustered above, with 121.71875 and 124.03125 as near-term upside targets, while support at 117.21875 and 111.56250 is critical for bulls to defend. Recent trade signals reflect this choppy environment, with both long and short entries triggered in close succession. Overall, the market is in a consolidation phase, with short- and intermediate-term trends neutral and the long-term structure still bearish, awaiting a decisive breakout or breakdown to define the next major swing.