UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-15 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117'30,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117'30,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119'07,
• 5. Levels R: 119'15, 119'09, 119'03, 118'30, 118'25,
• 6. Levels S: 114'68, 113'12, 111'13.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'28 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'21 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'47 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'91 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120'06 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'81 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Dec 2025: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market under pressure, with price action recently breaking below the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) neutral zone, confirming a downtrend for December. Short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are both down, with the most recent pivot low established at 117'30 and the next potential reversal at 119'07. Resistance levels cluster above current price, while support is well below, indicating a lack of immediate downside targets but also little sign of a reversal. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the bearish technical structure. The weekly and yearly session fib grids remain in uptrends, suggesting that the broader context is not as negative, but the current momentum is slow and the market is consolidating after a recent selloff. Recent trade signals show both long and short entries, reflecting choppy, two-way action typical of a market searching for direction after a strong move. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the technicals point to a bearish bias in the short and intermediate term, with the long-term trend still neutral as the market tests key support and digests recent declines.