UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-14 18:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117'24,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -54%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117'24,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121'28.75,
• 5. Levels R: 121'28.75, 124'03.125, 119'03.875,
• 6. Levels S: 114'68.75, 113'12.50, 111'25.00, 111'15.25, 111'05.00.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'28.0 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'18.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'47.0 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'91.99 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120'06.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'81.93 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 12 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are currently exhibiting a clear bearish bias in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes. Price has broken below the December Monthly Session Fib Grid (MSFG) Neutral Zone, confirming a downtrend, and the most recent swing pivot is a new low at 117'24. All benchmark moving averages from short to long-term are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing weakness. The weekly session grid (WSFG) shows a minor upward bias, but this is overshadowed by the dominant monthly and daily downtrends. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume is steady but not spiking, suggesting a controlled selloff rather than panic. The recent trade signals confirm short entries, aligning with the technical structure. Key support levels are well below current price, while resistance is stacked above, indicating that any rallies may face significant overhead supply. The long-term trend remains neutral, suggesting the potential for stabilization or basing in the coming months, but for now, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.