UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-10 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.07,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -41%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.84375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 152.40625, 152.125, 137.71875, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 117.84375, 111.5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.78 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.46 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.38 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.93 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 122.98 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 135.16 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a market in transition. Short-term momentum is slow and the price is trading below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers, with both WSFG and MSFG trends pointing down. This is reinforced by recent short trade signals and a prevailing short-term downtrend in swing pivots. However, the intermediate-term HiLo trend is up, suggesting some underlying support or a potential for a counter-trend move. Most key moving averages (5, 10, 55, 100, 200 week) are in downtrends, except the 20-week, which is showing a slight uptrend, indicating possible stabilization or a pause in the broader decline. The long-term YSFG trend is up, with price just above the yearly fib grid center, hinting at a possible base-building phase. Resistance is layered above at 124.03 and 137.71, while support is close at 117.84 and further down at 111.56. The market appears to be consolidating after a significant sell-off, with choppy price action and no clear breakout yet. Swing traders should note the mixed signals across timeframes, with short-term bearishness, intermediate-term neutrality, and long-term stabilization, suggesting a market in search of direction as it digests recent volatility and awaits new catalysts.