UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-10 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.21875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -41%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.84375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 120.11529, 119.5625, 119.39844, 119.09375, 118.34375,
• 6. Levels S: 117.84375, 114.8875, 113.125, 111.5625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.71875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.86875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.40825 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a clear short-term and intermediate-term bearish environment, with price action below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers and all benchmark moving averages trending down. The most recent swing pivots confirm a downtrend, with the last pivot low at 117.84375 and resistance levels stacked above current price, indicating persistent selling pressure. Momentum is slow, and volatility (ATR) is moderate, while volume remains steady. The long-term yearly trend is still technically up, but all major moving averages are in decline, suggesting the longer-term uptrend is under pressure. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. The market is currently in a corrective or continuation phase lower, with no immediate signs of reversal, and is testing support levels established by recent swing lows.