UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-09 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.31,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 117.03,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 124.06,
• 5. Levels R: 137.66, 127.66, 124.03, 122.39,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.04 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.78 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 122.93 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 130.16 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.16 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 135.17 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market under persistent downward pressure in the short and long term, with the last price at 118.31 and slow momentum. The short-term (WSFG) and intermediate-term (MSFG) session fib grids both indicate price below their respective NTZ centers and are trending down, reinforced by recent short trade signals. The swing pivot trend is down short-term, but the intermediate-term HiLo trend is up, suggesting some underlying support or a possible basing attempt. Key resistance levels cluster above current price, with the nearest at 124.03 and 127.66, while major support sits at 111.56. All benchmark moving averages from 5 to 200 weeks are trending down, confirming the dominant bearish structure. The yearly fib grid (YSFG) is the only bright spot, showing a slight uptrend with price above its NTZ, but this is not yet reflected in the shorter timeframes. Overall, the market is in a corrective or consolidative phase within a broader downtrend, with any rallies likely to encounter strong resistance. The environment remains choppy, with potential for further downside unless a sustained move above key resistance levels materializes.