UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-09 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.89203,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.3475,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.625, 120.40625, 119.78125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.6875, 113.125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.115 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.084 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.189 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.560 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.187 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 120.406 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a clear short-term and intermediate-term bearish structure, with price action below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid neutral zones and a prevailing downtrend in swing pivots. The most recent pivots confirm a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with resistance levels stacked above and support levels well below current price. Most short and intermediate moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the downside bias, while the 20-day MA is the only benchmark still holding an uptrend, suggesting some residual intermediate support. Long-term structure remains neutral as the yearly fib grid trend is up, but price is currently below most long-term moving averages. Volatility is moderate, and volume is average, indicating no extreme market conditions. Recent trade signals have triggered new short entries, aligning with the prevailing trend. Overall, the market is in a corrective or continuation phase lower, with no immediate signs of reversal, but long-term participants may still see the broader uptrend as intact.