UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-08 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.3125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.25000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.81250,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.65625, 137.71875, 127.65625, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56250, 118.25000.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.04875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 122.93219 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 126.40625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.1625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 135.17000 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market under pressure in the short and intermediate terms, with both the WSFG and MSFG trends pointing down and price action below their respective NTZ/F0% levels. The most recent swing pivot trend is down, and the last two trade signals have been to the short side, confirming the prevailing bearish sentiment. Momentum is slow, and price is consolidating near recent lows, with the next key support at 118.25000 and major resistance levels well above current price. While the long-term YSFG trend has turned up and price is marginally above the yearly NTZ, the majority of long-term moving averages remain in a downtrend, suggesting that any recovery is tentative and not yet broadly confirmed. The market is in a corrective phase, with lower highs and a series of failed rallies, indicating persistent selling pressure. The overall structure suggests a market that is still searching for a durable bottom, with short-term and intermediate-term trends favoring continued caution until a clear reversal or breakout above resistance levels is established.