UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-08 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.3921,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.8925,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120.1875,
• 5. Levels R: 124.0312, 121.6250, 120.1875, 119.7430, 118.3437,
• 6. Levels S: 118.8925, 114.6875, 113.1250, 111.1250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.40 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.19 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.25 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.19 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.32 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.90 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear short-term and intermediate-term bearish structure, with price action below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid NTZs and all key moving averages trending down. The most recent swing pivots confirm a downtrend, with the latest pivot low at 118.8925 acting as immediate support and a series of lower highs reinforcing resistance above. Momentum is slow and bars are medium-sized, indicating a controlled but persistent move lower rather than a sharp selloff. The long-term yearly fib grid remains slightly positive, suggesting that the broader trend is still intact, but the current price action is dominated by downside pressure. Recent trade signals have also triggered short entries, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, supporting the ongoing trend without signs of exhaustion or reversal. Overall, the market is in a corrective or trending down phase, with no immediate signs of a reversal, but long-term structure remains neutral as price is still above the yearly NTZ.