UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-07 18:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.3921,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 120.6875, 120.4625, 120.1875, 119.7500, 119.4375,
• 6. Levels S: 118.6875, 113.1250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.4025 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.1875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.1875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.4625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.9312 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.8925 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a clear bearish bias in both the short- and intermediate-term outlooks. Price action is currently below key weekly and monthly session fib grid levels, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars indicating a controlled but persistent downward move. All benchmark moving averages across short, intermediate, and long-term horizons are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing downside pressure. Swing pivot analysis shows a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 118.6875 acting as immediate support and multiple resistance levels stacked above, suggesting overhead supply. Recent trade signals have also triggered short entries, aligning with the technical setup. While the long-term yearly trend remains marginally up, the current environment is characterized by a retracement or correction phase within a broader uptrend, as evidenced by the price holding just above the yearly fib grid. Volatility (ATR) and volume metrics are moderate, indicating no extreme market stress but a steady flow of participation. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase with a bearish tilt, and traders are likely monitoring for either a continuation lower or signs of stabilization near key support.