UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-05 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -109%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.06,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.06,
• 5. Levels R: 121.06, 120.75, 120.31,
• 6. Levels S: 119.06, 118.68, 118.12, 117.13, 113.12.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.75 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.31 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.34 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.12 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.29 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.89 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under pressure, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends pointing down. Price action is consolidating below key moving averages, and momentum remains slow, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The swing pivot structure confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 119.06 acting as immediate support and resistance levels clustered above at 120.31–121.06. All benchmark moving averages are trending lower, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. The ATR suggests moderate volatility, while volume has normalized after a recent spike. Despite the long-term YSFG trend holding slightly positive, the current environment is defined by persistent selling pressure and failed attempts to reclaim higher resistance zones. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the technical landscape. The market is in a corrective phase, with lower highs and lower lows dominating, and any sustained move above the 121.06 resistance would be required to challenge the current bearish structure.