UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-04 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119'20,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -68%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.06250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 123.79688,
• 5. Levels R: 152.15625, 150.0000, 137.71875, 137.65625, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 119.06250, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.4375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.8477 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.1963 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 120.9316 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 123.0469 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 135.5671 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a market under persistent downward pressure in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes, as evidenced by the negative WSFG and MSFG trends, and the recent short trade signals. Price is currently below the NTZ center (F0%) on both the weekly and monthly session grids, reinforcing a bearish bias. The most recent swing pivot is a low at 119.06250, with the next potential resistance at 123.79688, but the overall structure shows lower highs and lower lows, typical of a downtrend. All benchmark moving averages from 5 to 200 weeks are trending down, confirming the prevailing bearish momentum. However, the yearly session grid trend has turned slightly positive, suggesting some stabilization or potential for a longer-term base, but this is not yet confirmed by price action or moving averages. The market appears to be in a broad consolidation after a prolonged selloff, with volatility subsiding and momentum slowing. Swing traders should note the dominance of resistance overhead and the lack of strong support until much lower levels, indicating that rallies may continue to be sold until a clear reversal pattern emerges.