UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-04 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -68%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120.50,
• 5. Levels R: 121.0625, 120.50, 119.75,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0625, 118.6875, 118.3125, 117.1250, 113.1250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.75 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.3125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.3125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 120.34375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.29 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.89172 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under short- and intermediate-term pressure, with both the WSFG and MSFG showing price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels and trending down. The most recent swing pivot trend is down, with the last pivot low at 119.0625 and resistance levels stacked above at 119.75, 120.50, and 121.0625. All short- and intermediate-term moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment, while the 200-day MA remains in an uptrend, suggesting longer-term support is still intact. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume has recently declined after a spike, indicating a possible pause or consolidation phase. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the current trend structure. The overall technical landscape points to a market in a corrective or pullback phase within a broader long-term uptrend, with the potential for further downside tests of support before any sustained reversal attempt.