UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-03 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.65625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -55%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.06250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 137.79000,
• 5. Levels R: 152.125, 150.000, 137.71875, 137.65625, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 119.06250, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.4375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 120.84775 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.19625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.91375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.06499 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 135.567125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a market under persistent downward pressure in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes, as indicated by the negative WSFG and MSFG trends, and confirmed by the most recent short trade signals. Price action is subdued, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels. The short-term swing pivot trend remains down, while the intermediate-term HiLo trend has shifted to up, hinting at a possible emerging base or a countertrend rally attempt. However, all key weekly moving averages (from 5 to 200 weeks) are trending down and positioned above current price, reinforcing the prevailing bearish structure and acting as significant resistance overhead. The long-term YSFG trend has turned up, but with price still below most major resistance levels, this may reflect only the early stages of a potential bottoming process. Support is clustered near 119.06 and 111.56, while resistance is layered above at 124.03, 137.65, and higher. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase within a broader downtrend, with any rallies likely to encounter strong resistance until a decisive shift in momentum or structure occurs.