UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-03 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119'29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -55%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119'17,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121'25,
• 5. Levels R: 121'25, 120'25, 119'31,
• 6. Levels S: 119'17, 118'09, 116'18, 114'68, 113'12.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120'31 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120'13 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'79 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'89 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'18 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 120'37 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 119.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market under short- and intermediate-term pressure, with both the weekly and monthly session fib grids trending down and price trading below their respective NTZ/F0% levels. The most recent swing pivot trend is down, with the next key resistance at 121'25 and immediate support at 119'17. Short-term and intermediate-term moving averages are all in downtrends, reinforcing the prevailing bearish momentum, while long-term averages are mixed, suggesting a more neutral stance for the broader trend. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, aligning with the current downward momentum. Volatility, as measured by ATR, remains moderate, and volume has pulled back from recent spikes. The market is in a corrective phase after a failed attempt to break higher, with lower highs and a test of support levels. The overall structure points to continued short-term and intermediate-term weakness, while the long-term trend remains less decisive, awaiting a clearer directional move.