UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Dec-01 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.14,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Dec

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 124.03,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 119.56,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03, 122.22, 121.56,
• 6. Levels S: 119.56, 118.89, 118.17, 117.52, 113.12.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.09 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.31 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.44 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.17 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.89 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.89 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 01 Dec 2025: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.75 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 24 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 24 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Price action has recently shifted to an uptrend in the short term, as indicated by the swing pivot trend (UTrend) and a series of higher lows, but the intermediate-term HiLo trend remains down, suggesting the market is still digesting a prior selloff. The price is currently above the monthly and yearly session fib grid centers, supporting an intermediate and long-term bullish bias, while the weekly grid remains bearish with price below its center. All benchmark moving averages are trending up, reinforcing the underlying strength, and the recent ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and healthy participation. Recent trade signals reflect mixed short-term direction, with both long and short entries triggered in the past week, highlighting a choppy environment. Key resistance sits at 124.03, with support at 119.56 and below. Overall, the market is consolidating after a recovery, with bullish momentum building in the intermediate and long term, but short-term direction remains uncertain as the market tests key resistance and support levels.