UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-24 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'12,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 124'13.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119'05.625,
• 5. Levels R: 137'93.75, 138'00, 152'40.25, 157'78.125, 212'28.50,
• 6. Levels S: 119'05.625, 111'84.375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 121'09 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119'17 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121'12 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 123'49.5 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 136'22.88 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 201'11.6 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 24 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 24 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 18 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with price action breaking above key NTZ/F0% levels across the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, all indicating an upward trend bias. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are in uptrends, supported by recent long trade signals and rising 5- and 10-week moving averages. The 20-week MA is also trending up, reinforcing the bullish tone in the medium term. However, the longer-term 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages remain in downtrends, suggesting that while a recovery is underway, the broader structure is still contending with overhead resistance and legacy bearishness. Key resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is established just below, indicating a potential for continued upward movement if momentum persists. The chart reflects a market in the midst of a recovery phase, with higher lows and a series of bullish signals, but still facing significant long-term resistance overhead. This environment is characteristic of a market transitioning from a prolonged downtrend into a possible new uptrend, with volatility and pullbacks likely as it tests major resistance zones.