UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-21 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.18750,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 40%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.31250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.50000,
• 5. Levels R: 124.31250, 121.50000, 120.03125, 119.62500, 118.62500,
• 6. Levels S: 119.31250, 119.03125, 118.96875, 114.96875, 113.40875, 111.84375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.19 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.19 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121.19 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.13 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.92 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.13 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 20 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 18 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market transitioning from a recent short-term downtrend (DTrend) to a potential reversal, as indicated by the formation of a new swing low at 119.31250 and a "next" pivot high target at 121.50000. Price is currently above all key moving averages, with both short- and long-term benchmarks in uptrends, supporting a bullish intermediate and long-term outlook. The price is also trading above the F0%/NTZ levels on the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, reinforcing the upward bias. Recent trade signals have triggered new long entries, aligning with the broader uptrend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are elevated, suggesting increased participation and potential for larger price swings. The market appears to be in a recovery phase after a corrective pullback, with the potential for a trend continuation if resistance at 121.50000 is cleared. The overall structure favors bullish momentum in the intermediate and long term, while the short-term remains neutral as the market tests key resistance and digests recent gains.