UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-17 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.69868,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 120.13,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.85,
• 5. Levels R: 124.3125, 121.85, 121.16,
• 6. Levels S: 119.96, 119.18, 114.96, 113.40.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 121.03 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 121.69 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 120.99 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.18 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.00 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.18 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 13 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Price is currently above all major session fib grid levels (weekly, monthly, yearly), with all session grid trends pointing up, indicating underlying bullish structure on intermediate and long-term horizons. However, the short-term swing pivot trend has shifted to a downtrend, and both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are in a downtrend, suggesting recent weakness or a pullback within the broader uptrend. The most recent swing low at 120.13 is now a key support, while resistance is seen at 121.85 and 124.31. The ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and steady participation. Recent trade signals show both long and short activity, reflecting the choppy, two-way action typical of a market digesting gains after a strong rally. Overall, the chart suggests a short-term consolidation or retracement phase within a larger bullish trend, with the potential for renewed upside if price can reclaim and hold above the short-term resistance levels.