UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-14 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'18,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 124'13.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119'26,
• 5. Levels R: 152'16, 142'06.25, 138'00, 137'29.75, 127'29.75, 123'28.50,
• 6. Levels S: 111'84.375, 118'09.3125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120'18 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118'90.3125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123'80.50 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 136'98.875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 138'80 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 196'00 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 13 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action has recently moved above the NTZ F0% levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, indicating a shift in momentum to the upside in the short and intermediate term. Both the short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are up, supported by recent higher lows and a series of medium-sized bars with average momentum. However, the long-term trend remains bearish, as all major long-term moving averages (20, 55, 100, 200 week) are still trending down and well above current price, highlighting significant overhead resistance. Recent trade signals show mixed activity, with short-term signals flipping to short while the intermediate-term signal remains long, reflecting a choppy environment. Key resistance levels are clustered above, with the nearest at 123'28.50 and 127'29.75, while support is found at 118'09.3125 and 111'84.375. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with potential for further upside retracement within a broader long-term downtrend, as price tests the lower boundaries of major resistance zones. Volatility and two-way trade are likely as the market navigates between these technical levels.