UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-14 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120.22,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.8125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.0625,
• 5. Levels R: 124.3125, 122.0625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.8125, 118.6875, 114.96875, 113.40625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.87 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 121.18 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121.96 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.11 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.48 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 122.06 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.40625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 13 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, as indicated by the recent short trade signals, a downtrend in the 5- and 10-day moving averages, and a short-term pivot trend (DTrend). Price is currently below the short-term moving averages but remains above key intermediate and long-term support levels, with the 55- and 100-day MAs still trending up. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: the monthly session fib grid and HiLo trend remain up, but price action is consolidating near support, suggesting a pause or potential base-building phase. Long-term structure remains bullish, with price above the yearly fib grid and long-term moving averages, though the 200-day MA is still in a downtrend. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. The market is currently testing support after a recent pullback from resistance, with the next key levels at 119.81 (support) and 122.06 (resistance). Overall, the chart reflects a short-term corrective phase within a broader bullish context, with potential for further consolidation or a reversal if support holds.