UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-13 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'15.5,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 26%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 120'18.75,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122'16,
• 5. Levels R: 124'31.25, 122'31.25, 121'31.25,
• 6. Levels S: 120'18.75, 119'06, 118'06, 117'16, 114'31.25, 114'06.25, 113'40.625, 111'48.75.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120'31.25 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 121'03.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121'15.469 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'10.219 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'10.219 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 122'15.469 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently above key session fib grid levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframes, with all three showing an upward trend bias. However, the short-term swing pivot trend has shifted to a downtrend, while the intermediate-term HiLo trend remains up, indicating a possible short-term pullback within a broader bullish structure. The most recent pivots highlight a support at 120'18.75 and resistance at 122'16, with higher resistance levels at 124'31.25. Moving averages are mixed: short-term MAs are trending down, but intermediate and long-term MAs are trending up, suggesting the recent pullback may be corrective within a larger uptrend. ATR and volume metrics indicate moderate volatility and participation. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both long and short entries triggered in the past week. Overall, the market is consolidating after a rally, with the potential for further upside if support holds and the short-term trend reverses back up.