UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-12 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.16,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.08,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.16,
• 5. Levels R: 124.31, 122.16, 121.16,
• 6. Levels S: 119.08, 114.97, 113.40.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.70 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.32 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 121.16 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.68 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.32 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.08 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 121.15625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition, with price currently above key session fib grid levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframes, all indicating an upward bias. The short-term swing pivot trend is down, but the intermediate-term trend remains up, suggesting a corrective pullback within a broader uptrend. Resistance is clustered near 122.16 and 124.31, while support is established at 119.08 and lower at 114.97. Moving averages mostly confirm the bullish intermediate and long-term structure, though the 10-day and 200-day MAs show some short-term weakness. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both long and short entries triggered in the past week. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating a market that is active but not excessively volatile. Overall, the chart suggests a consolidation phase within a larger bullish context, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are cleared, but also the risk of deeper pullbacks if support fails.