UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-11 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'19,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 124'13.5,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 119'13.25,
• 5. Levels R: 152'14.0, 151'78.125, 138'00.0, 137'93.75, 127'93.75, 124'13.5,
• 6. Levels S: 119'13.25, 118'09.3125, 111'84.375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118'90.3125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119'43.75 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 123'80.5 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 128'43.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 136'98.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 139'06 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short-term price action is neutral, with average momentum and medium-sized bars, reflecting a choppy environment. The WSFG (Weekly Session Fib Grid) trend is down, with price below the NTZ center, but the swing pivot trend has shifted to an uptrend, suggesting a possible short-term base or consolidation phase. Intermediate-term signals are more constructive: both the MSFG and swing HiLo trends are up, and the 5- and 10-week moving averages are rising, indicating a developing bullish bias. Long-term, however, the trend remains bearish, as the 55-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages are all trending down and well above current price, highlighting persistent overhead resistance. Key resistance levels cluster between 124'13.5 and 152'14.0, while support is found at 119'13.25 and 111'84.375. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both long and short entries triggered in November. Overall, the market is consolidating after a prolonged downtrend, with intermediate-term bullish momentum emerging but significant long-term resistance still in play. Swing traders should note the potential for further range-bound action or a developing base, with the next major move likely to be defined by a break of the current support or resistance levels.