UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Nov-10 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.0576,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.0576,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.3125, 122.03125, 120.68125,
• 6. Levels S: 119.0576, 114.96875, 114.0625, 113.40625, 111.4875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.6812 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.6812 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 122.2688 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.6166 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.0312 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 121.116 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 120.1875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 07 Nov 2025: Long UB 12-25 @ 120.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Nov 2025: Short UB 12-25 @ 121.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart currently reflects a mixed environment across timeframes. Short-term price action is under pressure, with the latest swing pivot confirming a downtrend and both the 5- and 10-day moving averages trending lower. The price is below the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) neutral zone, reinforcing a bearish short-term bias. However, the intermediate- and long-term outlooks remain constructive: the monthly and yearly session fib grids (MSFG and YSFG) both show price above their respective neutral zones, and the 55-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages are in uptrends. The most recent swing low at 119.0576 is a key support, with resistance levels at 120.68125, 122.03125, and 124.3125. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady. Recent trade signals have alternated between short and long, reflecting the choppy, transitional nature of the current market. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term pullback within a broader bullish structure, with potential for further consolidation or a reversal if support holds and momentum shifts.